Monday, March 16, 2009

Conference Tournament Results: March 11th - 15th

The Conference Tournament Predictions are over. For better and for worse...they're over. I'm pleased with my results and I'm frustrated with my results. My goals were to predict 15 of the 30 Conference Champions correctly, along with having a 70% overall winning percentage. Um, I didn't quite make either of those goals. I showed improvement from last season in predicting Conference Champions (13 from 12), but I performed much worse with regard to my overall percentage. It's not a good thing, it's not a bad thing...it just is. Let's move on to the important Tournament now. Here are my final statistics:

Predicting Conference Champions:
  • 2009 - 13 of 30 Correct (43.3%)
  • 2008 - 12 of 30 Correct (40%)
Overall Winning Percentage:
  • 2009 - 167 of 271 Games Correct (61.6%)
  • 2008 - 174 of 265 Games Correct (65.7%)
America East Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Binghamton (1st ever NCAA appearance)
  • My Predicted Champion: Vermont (lost in quarterfinals to Albany)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 25% (2 of 8 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.1% (65 of 103 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 41.7% (5 of 12 correct)
Big Sky Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Portland State (2nd NCAA appearance, second in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Weber State (lost in semifinals to Montana State)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 40% (2 of 5 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.0% (67 of 108 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 38.5% (5 of 13 correct)
Northeast Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Robert Morris (6th NCAA appearance, first since 1992)
  • My Predicted Champion: Robert Morris
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 71.4% (5 of 7 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.6% (72 of 115 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 42.9% (6 of 14 correct)
Patriot League:
  • Actual Champion: American (2nd NCAA appearance, second in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: American
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 71.4% (5 of 7 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.1% (77 of 122 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 46.7% (7 of 15 correct)
Western Athletic Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Utah State (18th NCAA appearance, first since 2006)
  • My Predicted Champion: Utah State
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.5% (5 of 8 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.1% (82 of 130 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 50% (8 of 16 correct)
Mid-American Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Akron (2nd NCAA appearance, first since 1986)
  • My Predicted Champion: Buffalo (lost in finals to Akron)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 72.7% (8 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.8% (90 of 141 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 47.1% (8 of 17 correct)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Morgan State (1st ever NCAA appearance)
  • My Predicted Champion: Morgan State
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 60% (6 of 10 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.6% (96 of 151 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 50% (9 of 18 correct)
Big East Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Louisville (35th NCAA appearance, third in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Pittsburgh (lost in quarterfinals to West Virginia)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 35.2% (6 of 17 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 60.7% (102 of 168 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 47.4% (9 of 19 correct)
Southland Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Stephen F. Austin (1st ever NCAA appearance)
  • My Predicted Champion: Stephen F. Austin
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 71.4% (5 of 7 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.1% (107 of 175 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 50% (10 of 20 correct)
Southwestern Athletic Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Alabama State (3rd NCAA appearance, first since 2004)
  • My Predicted Champion: Alabama State
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 85.7% (6 of 7 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.1% (113 of 182 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 52.4% (11 of 21 correct)
Big West Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Cal State Northridge (2nd NCAA appearance, first since 2001)
  • My Predicted Champion: Long Beach State (lost in semifinals to Pacific)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 42.9% (3 of 7 correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.4% (116 of 189 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 50% (11 of 22 correct)
Mountain West Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Utah (27th NCAA appearance, first since 2005)
  • My Predicted Champion: Utah
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 75% (6 of 8 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.9% (122 of 197 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 52.2% (12 of 23 correct)
Conference USA:
  • Actual Champion: Memphis (22nd NCAA appearance, fourth in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Memphis
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.6% (7 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.0% (129 of 208 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 54.2% (13 of 24 correct)
Atlantic 10 Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Temple (27th NCAA appearance, second in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Xavier (lost in semifinals to Temple)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 63.3% (7 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 62.1% (136 of 219 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 52.0% (13 of 25 correct)
Pac 10 Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Southern Cal (15th NCAA appearance, third in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Arizona State (lost in finals to USC)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 55.6% (5 of 9 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.8% (141 of 228 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 50% (13 of 26 correct)
Big 12 Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Missouri (22nd NCAA appearance, first since 2003)
  • My Predicted Champion: Kansas (lost in quarterfinals to Baylor)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 45.5% (5 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.1% (146 of 239 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 48.1% (13 of 27 correct)
Southeastern Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Mississippi State (10th NCAA appearance, second in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: South Carolina (lost in quarterfinals to Miss. St.)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 72.7% (8 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.6% (154 of 250 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 46.4% (13 of 28 correct)
Big 10 Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Purdue (23rd NCAA appearance, third in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: Michigan State (lost in semifinals to Ohio State)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 70% (7 of 10 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.9% (161 of 260 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 44.8% (13 of 29 correct)
Atlantic Coast Conference:
  • Actual Champion: Duke (33rd NCAA appearance, 14th in a row)
  • My Predicted Champion: North Carolina (lost in semifinals to Florida St.)
  • Bracket Winning Percentage: 54.5% (6 of 11 games correct)
  • Overall Bracket Winning Percentage: 61.6% (167 of 271 correct)
  • Overall Predicted Champion Winning Percentage: 43.3% (13 of 30 correct)
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5 comments:

  1. This is a lot of effort you put in for the love of this blog, I know I appreciate the effort, I think all the others do also. In fact, you may be the only one in the entire country that does this and then still makes the time to post it...Joe Lunardi would be jealous.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thank you Matty. I appreciate the appreciation. I know this ongoing segment is possibly the most "boring" part of the blog...but like you said, as far as I know, I'm the only one in the country filling out EVERY bracket and actually reporting my results. I HATE when pundits make predictions and never hold themselves accountable. I'm disclosing everything here. It is a labor of love.

    I also like filling out every Conference Tournament bracket because it provides a little awareness into the smaller schools before they even get to the big dance. All of a sudden, my readers (and myself) have actually heard of Siena, Radford, Robert Morris, Cleveland State, Utah State, ect. before they go and fill out their actual bracket.

    I plan on doing this every year. It's just too much fun.

    ReplyDelete
  3. well said rjmelvin ... very well said.

    ReplyDelete